Wu CY, Ku CC, McQuaid CF, Lönnroth K, Cegielski JP, Bentham J, Ezzati M, Lin HH.
Estimating the impact of nutritional transition and ending hunger on tuberculosis in 12 high-burden countries: a model-based scenario analysis. BMJ Global Health 2025, 10:e018839

Lopez-Jimenez F, Di Cesare M, Powis J, Shrikhande S, Adeoye M, Codato E, Zhou B, Bixby H, Evans N, Lara-Breitinger K, Rodriguez MA, Hadeed L, Barquera S, Taylor S, Perel P, Pineiro D, Narula J, Pinto F.
The weight of cardiovascular diseases: addressing the global cardiovascular crisis associated with obesity. Global Heart 2025, 20:68

Soto-Mota A, Carrillo-Larco RM, Gregg EW, Rojas-Martínez R, Ezzati M, Aguilar-Salinas C.
Clinical heterogeneity and transitions of obesity in Mexico. The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism 2025, 110:e3648-e3655

Lee-Boey JS, Tan JK, Lim ZF, Zaccardi F, Khunti K, Ezzati M, Gregg EW, Lim LL.
Obesity-related glomerulopathy: How it happens and future perspectives. Diabetic Medicine 2025, 42:e70042

Song X, Zhou B, Baird S, Lu C, Song Z, Zhang Y, Wang R, Jiang J, Chen L, Liu J, Yuan W, Liu Y, Dang J, Hu P, Ma J, Dong Y, Song Y, Ezzati M, Sawyer SM.
Trends and predictions to 2030 in demographic structures and metabolic health for children and adolescents in China: analysis of national school health surveys from 2000 to 2019. Lancet Child & Adolescent Health 2025, 9:530-543

Wang X, Shaw JE, Yu J, Jennings G, Stavreski B, Magliano D, Gill TK, Adams R, Rodgers A, Woodward M, Schlaich MP, Singleton R, Zhou B, Schutte AE.
Prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control rates of hypertension in the general population of Australia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Journal of Hypertension 2025, 43:185-190

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose and hemoglobin A1c. Nature Medicine 2023, 29:2885-2901 code and input data download

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Diminishing benefits of urban living for children and adolescents' growth and development. Nature 2023, 615:874-883 code and input data download

Zhang M, Shi Y, Zhou B, Huang Z, Zhao Z, Li C, Zhang X, Han G, Peng K, Li X, Wang Y, Ezzati M, Wang L, Li Y.
Prevalence, awareness, treatment, and control of hypertension in China, 2004-18: findings from six rounds of a national survey. BMJ 2023, 380:e071952

Paalanen L, Levälahti E, Mäki, P, Tolonen H, Sassi F, Ezzati M, Laatikainen T.
Association of socioeconomic position and childhood obesity in Finland: a registry-based study. BMJ Open 2022, 12:e068748

Lelijveld N, Benedict RK, Wrottesley SV, Bhutta ZA, Borghi E, Cole TJ, Croft T, Frongillo EA, Hayashi C, Namaste S, Sharma D, Tumilowicz A, Wells JC, Ezzati M, Patton GC, Mates E.
Towards standardised and valid anthropometric indicators of nutritional status in middle childhood and adolescence. Lancet Child & Adolescent Health 2022; 6:738-746

Black RE, Liu L, Hartwig FP, Villavicencio F, Rodriguez-Martinez A, Vidaletti LP, Perin J, Black MM, Blencowe H, You D, Hug L, Masquelier B, Cousens S, Gove A, Vaivada T, Yeung D, Behrman J, Martorell R, Osmond C, Stein AD, Adair LS, Fall CHD, Horta B, Menezes AMB, Ramirez-Zea M, Richter LM, Patton GC, Bendavid E, Ezzati M, Bhutta ZA, Lawn JE, Victora CG.
Health and development from preconception to 20 years of age and human capital. Lancet 2022, 399:1730-1740

Cohorts Consortium of Latin America and the Caribbean (CC-LAC).
Derivation, internal validation, and recalibration of a cardiovascular risk score for Latin America and the Caribbean (Globorisk-LAC): A pooled analysis of cohort studies. Lancet Regional Health- Americas 2022; 9:100258

Cohorts Consortium of Latin America and the Caribbean (CC-LAC).
Impact of common cardio-metabolic risk factors on fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease in Latin America and the Caribbean: an individual-level pooled analysis of 31 studies. Lancet Regional Health- Americas 2021;4: 100068

SCORE2 working group and ESC Cardiovascular risk collaboration.
SCORE2 risk prediction algorithms: new models to estimate 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in Europe. European Heart Journal 2021, 42:2439-2454

Ikeda N, Nakaya T, Bennett J, Ezzati M, Nishi N.
Trends and disparities in adult body mass index across 47 prefectures in Japan, 1975–2018. Frontiers in Public Health 2021, 50:dyab168.308

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Worldwide trends in hypertension prevalence and progress in treatment and control from 1990 to 2019: a pooled analysis of 1201 population-representative studies with 104 million participants. Lancet 2021, 398:957-980 code download input data download   

Wang L^*, Zhou B^*, Zhao Z^*, Yang L^*, Zhang M, Jiang Y, Li Y, Zhou M, Wang L, Huang Z, Zhang X, Zhao L, Yu D, Li C, Ezzati M^‡, Chen Z^‡, Wu J^‡, Ding G^‡, Li X^‡.
Body-mass index and obesity in urban and rural China: findings from consecutive nationally representative surveys during 2004-18. Lancet 2021, 398:53-63

Zhou B, Perel P, Mensah GA, Ezzati M.
Global epidemiology, health burden and effective interventions for elevated blood pressure and hypertension. Nature Reviews Cardiology 2021, 18:785-802

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Heterogeneous contributions of change in population distribution of body mass index to change in obesity and underweight. eLife 2021, 10:e60060 code download input data download   

Cohorts Consortium of Latin America and the Caribbean (CC-LAC).
Cohort profile: The Cohorts Consortium of Latin America and the Caribbean (CC-LAC). International Journal of Epidemiology 2020, 49;1437-1437g

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Height and body-mass index trajectories of school-aged children and adolescents from 1985 to 2019 in 200 countries and territories: a pooled analysis of 2181 population-based studies with 65 million participants. Lancet 2020, 396:1511-1524 code download input data download   

NCD Countdown 2030 collaborators.
NCD Countdown 2030: pathways to achieving Sustainable Development Goal target 3.4. Lancet 2020, 396:918-934

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Repositioning of the global epicentre of non-optimal cholesterol. Nature 2020, 582:73-77 input data download

Bentham J, Singh GM, Danaei G, Green R, Lin JK, Stevens GA, Farzadfar F, Bennett JE, Di Cesare M, Dangour AD, Ezzati M.
Multidimensional characterization of global food supply from 1961 to 2013. Nature Food 2020, 1:70-75 data download

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC)—Americas Working Group.
Trends in cardiometabolic risk factors in the Americas between 1980 and 2014: a pooled analysis of population-based surveys. Lancet Global Health 2020, 8:e123-e133

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
National trends in total cholesterol obscure heterogeneous changes in HDL and non-HDL cholesterol and total-to-HDL cholesterol ratio: a pooled analysis of 458 population-based studies in Asian and Western countries. International Journal of Epidemiology 2020, 49:173-192

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Long-term and recent trends in hypertension awareness, treatment, and control in 12 high-income countries: an analysis of 123 nationally representative surveys. Lancet 2019, 394:639-651

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Rising rural body-mass index is the main driver of the global obesity epidemic in adults. Nature 2019, 569:260-264 code download input data download   

NCD Countdown 2030 collaborators.
NCD Countdown 2030: worldwide trends in non-communicable disease mortality and progress towards Sustainable Development Goal target 3. Lancet 2018, 392:1072-1088

Ezzati M, Pearson-Stuttard J, Bennett JE, Mathers CD.
Acting on non-communicable diseases in low- and middle-income tropical countries. Nature 2018, 559:507-516

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Contributions of mean and shape of blood pressure distribution to worldwide trends and variations in raised blood pressure: a pooled analysis of 1018 population-based measurement studies with 88.6 million participants. International Journal of Epidemiology 2018, 47:872-883i

Pearson-Stuttard J, Zhou B, Kontis V, Bentham J, Gunter MJ, Ezzati M.
Worldwide burden of cancer attributable to diabetes and high body-mass index: a comparative risk assessment. Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2018, 6:e6-e15

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Worldwide trends in body-mass index, underweight, overweight, and obesity from 1975 to 2016: a pooled analysis of 2416 population-based measurement studies in 128.9 million children, adolescents, and adults. Lancet 2017, 390:2627-2642 input data download

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC) – Africa Working Group.
Trends in obesity and diabetes across Africa from 1980 to 2014: an analysis of pooled population-based studies. International Journal of Epidemiology 2017, 46:1421-1432

Ueda P, Woodward M, Lu Y, Hajifathalian K, Al-Wotayan R^†, Aguilar-Salinas CA^†, Ahmadvand A^†, Azizi F^†, Bentham J^†, Cifkova R^†, Di Cesare M^†, Eriksen L^†, Farzadfar F^†, Ferguson TS^†, Ikeda N^†, Khalili D^†, Khang Y-H^†, Lanska V^†, León-Muñoz L^†, Magliano DJ^†, Margozzini P^†, Msyamboza KP^†, Mutungi G^†, Oh K^†, Oum S^†, Rodríguez-Artalejo F^†, Rojas-Martinez R^†, Valdivia G^†, Wilks R^†, Shaw JE^†, Stevens GA^†, Tolstrup JS^†, Zhou B^†, Salomon JA, Ezzati M, Danaei G.
Laboratory-based and office-based risk scores and charts to predict 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease in 182 countries: a pooled analysis of prospective cohorts and health surveys. Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2017, 5:196-213

Ezzati M, Zhou B, Riley L, Stevens GA, Hajifathalian K, Danaei G on behalf of the NCD Risk Factor Collaboration.
Challenges of monitoring global diabetes prevalence. Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2017, 5:162

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Worldwide trends in blood pressure from 1975 to 2015: a pooled analysis of 1479 population-based measurement studies with 19.1 million participants. Lancet 2017, 389:37-55

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
A century of trends in adult human height. eLife 2016, 5:e13410

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants. Lancet 2016, 387:1513-1530

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Trends in adult body-mass index in 200 countries from 1975 to 2014: a pooled analysis of 1698 population-based measurement studies with 19.2 million participants. Lancet 2016, 387:1377-1396

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC).
Effects of diabetes definition on global surveillance of diabetes prevalence and diagnosis: a pooled analysis of 96 population-based studies with 331 288 participants. Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2015, 3:624-637

Hajifathalian K^*, Ueda P^*, Lu Y, Woodward M, Ahmadvand A^†, Aguilar-Salinas CA^†, Azizi F^†, Cifkova R^†, Di Cesare M^†, Eriksen L^†, Farzadfar F^†, Ikeda N^†, Khalili D^†, Khang Y-H^†, Lanska V^†, León-Muñoz L^†, Magliano D^†, Msyamboza KP^†, Oh K^†, Rodríguez-Artalejo F^†, Rojas-Martinez R^†, Shaw JE^†, Stevens GA^†, Tolstrup J^†, Zhou B^†, Salomon JA, Ezzati M, Danaei G.
A novel risk score to predict cardiovascular disease risk in national populations (Globorisk): a pooled analysis of prospective cohorts and health examination surveys. Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2015, 3:339-355

Kontis V, Mathers CD, Bonita R, Stevens GA, Rehm J, Shield KD, Riley LM, Poznyak V, Jabbour S, Garg RM, Hennis A, Fouad HM, Beaglehole R^‡, Ezzati M^‡.
Regional contributions of six preventable risk factors to achieving the 25 × 25 non-communicable disease mortality reduction target: a modelling study. Lancet Global Health 2015, 3:e746-e757

The Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors for Chronic Diseases Collaboration.
Cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, and diabetes mortality burden of cardiometabolic risk factors from 1980 to 2010: a comparative risk assessment. Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology 2014, 2:634-647

Kontis V, Mathers CD, Rehm J, Stevens GA, Shield KD, Bonita R, Riley LM, Poznyak V, Beaglehole R^‡, Ezzati M^‡.
Contribution of six risk factors to achieving the 25×25 non-communicable disease mortality reduction target: a modelling study. Lancet 2014, 384:427-437

The Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors for Chronic Diseases Collaboration (BMI Mediated Effects).
Metabolic mediators of the effects of body-mass index, overweight, and obesity on coronary heart disease and stroke: a pooled analysis of 97 prospective cohorts with 1.8 million participants. Lancet 2014, 383:970-983

Finucane MM, Paciorek CJ, Danaei G, Ezzati M.
Bayesian estimation of population-level trends in measures of health status. Statistical Science 2014, 29:18-25 code download

Singh GM, Danaei G, Farzadfar F, Stevens GA, Woodward M, Wormser D, Kaptoge S, Fa, Whitlock G, Qioa Q, Lewington S, Di Angelantonio E, Vander Hoorn S, Lawes CMM , Ali MK, Mozaffarian D, Ezzati M, Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group; Asia-Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration (APCSC), Diabetes Epidemiology: Collaborative analysis Of Diagnostic criteria in Europe (DECODE), Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration (ERFC), Prospective Studies Collaboration (PSC).
The age-specific quantitative effects of metabolic risk factors on cardiovascular disease and diabetes: a pooled analysis. PLos One 2013;8(7):e65174

Danaei G^*, Singh GM^*, Paciorek CJ, Lin JK, Cowan MJ, Finucane MM, Farzadfar F, Stevens GA, Riley LM, Lu Y, Rao M, Ezzati M on behalf of the Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group.
The global cardiovascular risk transition: associations of four metabolic risk factors with national income, urbanization, and Western diet in 1980 and 2008. Circulation 2013, 127:1493-1502

Singh GM^*, Danaei G^*, Pelizzari PM, Lin JK, Cowan MJ, Stevens GA, Farzadfar F, Khang Y-H, Lu Y, Riley LM, Lim SS, Ezzati M.
The age associations of blood pressure, cholesterol, and glucose: analysis of health examination surveys from international populations. Circulation 2012, 125:2204-2211

Stevens GA, Singh GM, Lu Y, Danaei G, Lin JK, Finucane MM, Bahalim AN, McIntire RK, Gutierrez HR, Cowan MJ, Paciorek CJ, Farzadfar F, Riley LM, Ezzati M and the Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group (Body Mass Index).
National, regional, and global trends in adult overweight and obesity prevalences. Population Health Metrics 2012, 10:22

Danaei G^*, Finucane MM^*, Lu Y, Singh GM, Cowan MJ, Paciorek CJ, Lin JK, Farzadfar F, Khang Y-H, Stevens GA, Rao M, Ali MK, Riley LM, Robinson CA, Ezzati M on behalf of the Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group (Blood Glucose).
National, regional, and global trends in fasting plasma glucose and diabetes prevalence since 1980: systematic analysis of health examination surveys and epidemiological studies with 370 country-years and 2.7 million participants. Lancet 2011, 378:31-40

Farzadfar F^*, Finucane MM^*, Danaei G, Pelizzari PM, Cowan MJ, Paciorek CJ, Singh GM, Lin JK, Stevens GA, Riley LM, Ezzati M on behalf of the Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group (Cholesterol).
National, regional, and global trends in serum total cholesterol since 1980: systematic analysis of health examination surveys and epidemiological studies with 321 country-years and 3.0 million participants. Lancet 2011, 377:578-586

Danaei G^*, Finucane MM^*, Lin JK^*, Singh GM^*, Paciorek CJ, Cowan MJ, Farzadfar F, Stevens GA, Lim SS, Riley LM, Ezzati M on behalf of the Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group (Blood Pressure).
National, regional, and global trends in systolic blood pressure since 1980: systematic analysis of health examination surveys and epidemiological studies with 786 country-years and 5.4 million participants. Lancet 2011, 377:568-577

Finucane MM^*, Stevens GA^*, Cowan MJ, Danaei G, Lin JK, Paciorek CJ, Singh GM, Gutierrez HR, Lu Y, Bahalim AN, Farzadfar F, Riley LM, Ezzati M on behalf of the Global Burden of Metabolic Risk Factors of Chronic Diseases Collaborating Group (Body Mass Index).
National, regional, and global trends in body-mass index since 1980: systematic analysis of health examination surveys and epidemiological studies with 960 country-years and 9.1 million participants. Lancet 2011, 377:557-567